Author: Ogechi Adele

Reevaluating Restrictive Views on Immigration

Summary:

Buddy Carter’s GA-1 district has been a firmly Republican district with high native-born populations for over 10 years. Research demonstrates that such a strong Republican Party implies increased support from white citizens who are seeking anti-immigrant polices in response to growing numbers of immigrants and threatening depictions of immigration. Carter has responded accordingly by consistently sponsoring restrictive bills throughout his three terms as representative. However, these exclusionary perceptions and political actions only serve to isolate immigrants within the district and negatively affect the psychological health of young immigrants especially. In addition, further research presents that Latino voters, a quickly and steadily growing electorate, will act against threatening, anti-immigrant policies and rhetoric. The demographics of GA-1 reflect growing Latino and immigrant populations along with declining white and native-born populations. If he continues to support restrictive and exclusionary immigration politics, which fosters hostile political and social environments within the district, he risks losing support of the Republican Party and hindering the integration and overall well-being of an entire population group. As a representative, Carter should change along with his district in the interests of reelection and social welfare and offer support for permissive policies that encourage pro-immigrant attitudes like amnesty or advocacy for asylum-seekers.

Op-ed:

Latinos are making their voices heard at the polling booths. In recent years, Latino voter turnout has grown exponentially, allowing the population to not only increasingly involve themselves in politics but also make their political needs known. After the election of a president adamant about border security and notorious for his anti-Latino immigrant rhetoric, Latino are taking action through their vote, especially during local elections. The 2018 congressional elections saw unprecedented numbers of Latino and earnestly pro-immigrant candidates voted into office. Latino citizens have refused to sit on the sidelines during this current political climate and their efforts have not been unnoticed or in vain. They are projected to become the largest non-white electorate by the next presidential elections and seem to be primarily showing support for the Democratic Party. This is a powerful group of constituents that have already helped turn the House of Representatives to majority Democrat.

Georgia’s first congressional district, led by third-term representative Buddy Carter, has been firmly Republican for the past 25 years. However, the margin by which Carter defeated his Democratic candidate was much smaller in 2018 than it had been in recent years. As research will show, the anti-immigrant attitudes of a strong Republican party disrupt the psychological development of local young immigrants and immigrant integration into local society. If Carter continues to support restrictive immigration policies and alienate a growing Latino population in the district, Latino voters will respond accordingly and the strength of the party will continue to dwindle, which will be reflected by Carter being elected by smaller and smaller margins until he is unseated by a Democratic candidate.

How should Republican representatives like Buddy Carter respond to these recent electorate and political changes in order to maintain party strength and political influence?

As Marisa Abrajano’s and Zoltan Hajnal’s 2015 study explains, growth in the immigrant population combined with negative depictions of Latino immigrants as threatening in national news has led to more support for the Republican party by white Americans. This support has been reflected in GA-1 through Carter’s congressional sponsorship for policies restricting immigration, immigrant rights, and immigrants’ paths to citizenship. His political actions imply anti-immigrant rhetoric and attitudes that permeate local society and create unwelcoming and even hostile environments for immigrants. Young immigrants are especially impacted by social environments like these and restrictive policies, according to Hirokazu Yoshikawa’s 2016 article. Living in communities in which local politicians and media consistently express exclusionary views about immigrants causes these youths to feel socially isolated and discriminated against, which negatively affects their psychological health by sparking high levels of stress, worry, and feelings of hopelessness. They are unable to fully integrate into a society that rejects them and harmfully impacts their well-being.

But why should Carter care about the experience and integration of immigrants in his district? For one, the demographics of his district are changing. Within the past ten years, GA-1 has experienced an almost two percent growth in the Latino population, one percent increase in the foreign-born population, one percent decrease in the native-born population, and nine percent decrease in the white alone population, which is the only racial group with negative growth. Meanwhile, diminishing support for the Republican Party is indicated by recent election results. In 2018, Carter defeated Democrat Lisa Ring by only 13.4 points compared to the 2016 election during which he ran and won virtually unopposed. If, as a politician, Carter’s primary goal is reelection, then logically, he should begin to respond to the needs of his changing constituency and the increasing numbers of Latinos. Beyond motivations of reelection, Carter should be concerned about the well-being of immigrants in his districts and their ability to integrate, whether or not they are naturalized citizens. Overall social prosperity should be a priority for any congressman and if there are entire groups of people suffering and unable to succeed and contribute to their communities, then this prosperity is compromised. In addition, when groups have felt marginalized and isolated historically, they tend to react through protests, demonstrations, and other forms of civil unrest.

Carter’s future reelections are also threatened by Latino voters. The negative rhetoric and support of restrictive policies illicit reactionary, political responses from Latinos, as Ariel White’s 2016 study argues. She finds that groups are mobilized to react politically to threatening policies, even if the policies do not affect them directly. Latinos can act against anti-immigrant laws and politics without being immigrants themselves by going to the polls and voting for candidates with more inclusive and pro-immigrant promises and rhetoric, who would most likely be members of the Democratic Party. The effects and influence of the Latino vote against a Republican representative like Carter would be exacerbated by GA-1’s growing Latino population and electorate.

In order to maintain strong support for the Republican Party and sustain inclusivity and integration of Latino and immigrant population groups, Buddy Carter should ease his firmly restritionist stance on immigration and offer advocation for asylum-seekers and amnesty. This will serve to counter anti-immigrant attitudes within the district and Carter’s political actions, allowing for immigrants to feel less isolated and unwelcome. Young immigrants will be better off mentally and psychologically and the possibility of protest and civil unrest will be tempered. As Carter begins to reflect the needs of the changing demographics of his district and sponsor bills that are less strict on immigration, Latino voters will be less inclined to vote against him. This country has seen to the power of a growing Latino electorate in recent elections and will continue to bear witness within the upcoming years. If Buddy Carter wants to keep the voting margins comfortably large between him and his Democratic counterparts, he will reevaluate and reconsider his support of anti-immigrant bills and views.

GA-1 Buddy Carter

Slide 1: I chose two prominent sources of local news in GA-1 with similar levels of salience of immigration news. I measured this salience by calculating the percentage of news articles within the Dec. 11, 2018 – Jan. 31, 2019 time period were pertaining to immigration, the border wall, and the government shutdown. This indicates that both Savannah Morning News and Brunswick News cover immigration news a similar amount; they pay comparable amounts of attention and efforts to immigration coverage. I chose to analyze 40 articles because Savannah News had hundreds of articles related to immigration, the wall, and the shutdown while Brunswick only had around 70. I wanted to analyze the same number of articles for both sources to give equal attention to each source and so I randomly selected 80 articles total because I believe this was a manageable number given my timeframe and resources of the assignment. I classified the tone of articles as either positive, negative, or neutral. A positively toned article was relatively pro-immigrant by satisfying the coding rules given on the slide, a negative article was anti-immigrant, and a neutral article was neither and did not take a clear stance. An article advocated for or against the border wall by explicitly classifying the wall as beneficial or not for the county. An article was critical of Republicans or Democrats by explicitly challenging the actions of one party and not the other. I then classified articles as either focusing on immigrants as criminals, on the issue of the border wall as a matter of security, on humanizing immigrants as individuals and families, on the partisanship around the shutdown, or on local impact of the shutdown in Savannah-area or Brunswick-area.

 

Slide 2: On this slide I’ve included information about Chatham and Glynn counties, the counties that Savannah Morning News and Brunswick News are distributed in, respectively. I wanted to highlight the statistical differences between the readerships; Chatham county has a much smaller percentage of whites and although both counties have similar percentages of Latinos, Chatham’s total population is much larger and therefore its Latino population is larger. The counties also voted very differently in two recent, significant elections. Chatham has strongly supported the Democratic party with Lisa Ring winning by 16 points in the 2018 congressional election for House representative and Clinton winning by 14.5 points in the 2016 presidential election. Meanwhile, Glynn county has been firmly Republican with Carter winning by 29 points and Trump winning by 28.6 points. These statistics indicate differing political views between the two counties, influencing my predictions about how their news sources may cover and present news about immigrants which I support with literature and research. I predicted that the focus of most articles would be on partisanship because of Wong’s theories of the hyperpartisanship surrounding immigration in recent years. Because immigration is such a politically divisive issue, its news coverage will most likely be centered around the opposing actions, policies, and views of Democrats and Republicans.

 

Slide 3: On this slide, I present the results of my analyses, during which I used the methods described on slide 1. My coding rules held up well as I was able to accurately classify each of the 80 articles, allowing me to gather relatively clear and unambiguous data. The results indicate significant differences in tone and focus between Savannah Morning News and Brunswick News. Both sources had similar percentages of neutral articles, but for the most part, their articles ranged between having negative or positive tones, taking stances either for or against Latino immigrants. The focuses of the articles ranged, but the focus that had the largest percentages for both sources was partisanship. Even though Savannah and Brunswick News varied widely in their frequency of articles with family and local impact focuses, they both had a similar percentage of articles relating to partisanship.

 

 

 

Slide 4: The results from the analyses confirmed my hypotheses: Brunswick News articles had more negative tones than Savannah Morning News and both majority of both sources’ articles had partisanship focuses. The results also indicated that the more positively toned Savannah News had many articles focused on Family while the more negatively toned Brunswick News had many articles focused on Local Impact. It is logical to assume that a news source with pro-immigrant attitudes and views would depict them as individuals and attempt to humanize and evoke empathy by providing personal stories, names, and faces of Latino immigrants. I can only infer that Brunswick News write articles more focused on local impact because as a news source with anti-immigrant perceptions, it may want to reflect its readership’s more positive outlook on and support of American citizens and community residents that are non-threatening compared to outsiders and Latino immigrants.

GA-1 Buddy Carter Demographics

Slide 1: GA-1 has experienced significant demographic change within the past decade. The populations of all nonwhite racial groups have risen, especially the black population. Meanwhile, the white alone population has dropped considerably. These changes are especially notable accounting for the 100,000+ increase in total population; the data suggests that this growth is comprised of primarily immigrants and minorities. The face of this district is evolving and I imagine this evolution is met with backlash from the white and native-born citizens, especially considering that the region previously lacked large populations of minorities. Even though diversity is still low, it is consistently increasing, and the change is likely noticed by locals of the district.

Slide 2: Newman and Hopkins explain that ethnic and racial demographic changes result in negative reactions from locals experiencing the change in their communities. But these responses depend on the saliency of media and how media portrays the demographic change and immigration. Media plays a crucial role in how people perceive the events occurring not only on a national scale but in their own communities. I expect that well-circulated, national news is salient in most communities because of the increased accessibility of information within the past decade alone. If media frequently frames immigrants negatively and as Latinos, then communities experiencing growth in ethnic and racial populations that were previously very small will react with hostility either through political action or social exclusion according to much of the existing research.

Slide 3: I based my predictions off of the significant demographic change in GA-1 and the conclusions of the existing research. I also had to conclude that national media and the how it frequently depicts immigrants as Latino and threatening permeates local regions across the country. One can confidently make this assumption because of the prominence of these portrayals in major news source according to Farris and Abrajano and Hajnal and because of the ease with which people can consume news and information in the recent growth of internet access and social media. As I explained in the previous assignment, GA-1 is a conservative and consistently Republican district with a representative who is most likely to support restrictionist and exclusionary immigration policy. Therefore, the hostility, fearful attitudes, and negative framing by local media may be exacerbated compared to other districts that are more liberal.

Slide 4: I have chosen to analyze three prominent local news sources in GA-1. Two are newspapers for the largest metropolitan areas that deliver news both in print and online to reach a larger audience. The third is a cable news station that broadcasts to a large, populous part of GA-1 and also provides articles online. Analyzing these specific mediums will allow me to gauge how news about immigration is delivered and received for most of the district. As a result, I will be able to make accurate assumptions about the media impact local attitudes and political actions. Finding ways to assess how the local media frames immigration and the tone used will be crucial in the next steps. I believe I can identify framing and tone by identifying commonly used words and phrases like “crime” and “Latino immigrant” and salient attitudes ideologies of exclusion and fear.

The Permeance of Political Messaging in Local Communities

How Trump-Fed Conspiracy Theories About Migrant Caravan Interest With Deadly Hatred

This week’s readings have been centered around changing attitudes towards immigrants in different geographical and demographical contexts. Abrajano and Hajnal (2015) and Hopkins (2010) discuss hypotheses of white and native views about immigration. Both seem to agree that the racial threat hypothesis does not fully characterize trends across the nation in different localities and demographic changes. Abrajano and Hajnal observed that states with larger Latino populations were more concerned about immigration while large Asian populations did not illicit the same effect. Hopkins concluded that negative attitudes resulted from politicized national rhetoric surrounding changes in demographics more so than from interactions with immigrants, while, similarly, Adida (2018) suggested that perspective-taking messaging caused positive views more definitively than proximity with an outgroup. These readings seemed to suggest that one of the most consistent factors impacting outlooks on immigration is politicized messaging. The article linked above provides an example of how specific political messaging about changing demographics permeated local communities and impacted attitudes towards immigration. Peters’ article explains how Trump and his administration’s rhetoric about a caravan of dangerous, malevolent migrants approaching the Southern border has influenced ideologies of local Americans and even inspired acts of hatred in communities like Squirrel Hill. Trump vocalizes and amplifies the ideas of more radical groups, allowing them to be spread nationally and received locally through news organization and his personal Twitter account. The power from this impact can be seen through not just through increasingly negative attitudes evidenced by polling results, but through tangible violence.

Why have these responses to political messaging about immigration so extreme and do you think that if Trump began tweeting perspective-taking messages that local communities would be affected to the same degree?

GA-1 Buddy Carter (new, readable submission)

 

Slide 1: In this slide, I’ve detailed the history and electoral margins of the past 10 years of elections. Jack Kingston was a 13-term representative, winning by percentages above 60 and a few uncontested primaries. After he retired to run for Senate in 2014, Buddy Carter became his successor narrowly winning primaries in the only runoff within these 10 years.  The past two elections have had very interesting results. In 2016, Carter won the Republican primary without opposition from either side until Nathan Russo wrote-in as a candidate, garnering very little support at the voting polls. Last election, Carter won by the narrowest margin by any candidate since before Kingston’s reign as representative. This is an extremely significant and stark difference from the circumstances of the previous election.

Slide 2:The table details breakdowns of the native and foreign-born communities. This district has a very small immigrant population, but of this population, there are noteworthy statistics. Even though Hispanics constitute 5.0% of the extremely large native-born population, they make up over half of the non-citizen immigrants. Out of all the four groups, non-citizens have the highest percentage of people without a high school degree and of working individuals making the lowest income on the table. I found it particularly interesting that while almost a third of working non-citizen immigrants make low incomes, naturalized citizens have the highest percentage of people making the largest incomes, even more so than the native population. As mentioned on the title slide, GA-1 is not a very rural area and is, in fact, quite urbanized. Therefore, in this slide I’ve emphasized that there are many other sectors that more significant to the region than agriculture. Finally, another notable statistic is the large growth within the Hispanic immigrant population in 2017 compared to just one year before.

Slide 3:I’ve pulled important arguments and points from various pieces of literature that correspond with relevant facts and statistics about the district and Buddy Carter. The words colored in red are meant to emphasize when the research is identifying a factor that is positively correlated with restrictive stances and actions, while the green-colored words are meant to do the same but for factors positively correlated with permissive or less restrictive stances and actions. Based on characteristics from the slide before, I make predictions using the relevant finding. There was not much definitive research on correlations between income brackets or employment levels of immigrant groups and the policymaking of Congressmen, but there was enough research about other characteristics for me to be able to make a firm prediction.

Slide 4:The overall tone and agenda of Carter, based on the types of immigration bills he supported and content of his website and twitter, is outwardly restrictive and focused on securing the border. The language he uses on his website and during interviews illustrates a grave threat beyond the Southern border that needs to be addressed through tougher law enforcement. Immigration is not a large part of his policymaking or platform, but he still makes his position very clear and in accordance with most members of his party in this era of hyperpartisanship.

GA-1 Buddy Carter

GA-1 Slides

Slide 1: In this slide, I’ve detailed the history and electoral margins of the past 10 years of elections. Jack Kingston was a 13-term representative, winning by percentages above 60 and a few uncontested primaries. After he retired to run for Senate in 2014, Buddy Carter became his successor narrowly winning primaries in the only runoff within these 10 years.  The past two elections have had very interesting results. In 2016, Carter won the Republican primary without opposition from either side until Nathan Russo wrote-in as a candidate, garnering very little support at the voting polls. Last election, Carter won by the narrowest margin by any candidate since before Kingston’s reign as representative. This is an extremely significant and stark difference from the circumstances of the previous election.

 

Slide 2:The table details breakdowns of the native and foreign-born communities. This district has a very small immigrant population, but of this population, there are noteworthy statistics. Even though Hispanics constitute 5.0% of the extremely large native-born population, they make up over half of the non-citizen immigrants. Out of all the four groups, non-citizens have the highest percentage of people without a high school degree and of working individuals making the lowest income on the table. I found it particularly interesting that while almost a third of working non-citizen immigrants make low incomes, naturalized citizens have the highest percentage of people making the largest incomes, even more so than the native population. As mentioned on the title slide, GA-1 is not a very rural area and is, in fact, quite urbanized. Therefore, in this slide I’ve emphasized that there are many other sectors that more significant to the region than agriculture. Finally, another notable statistic is the large growth within the Hispanic immigrant population in 2017 compared to just one year before.

 

Slide 3:I’ve pulled important arguments and points from various pieces of literature that correspond with relevant facts and statistics about the district and Buddy Carter. The words colored in red are meant to emphasize when the research is identifying a factor that is positively correlated with restrictive stances and actions, while the green-colored words are meant to do the same but for factors positively correlated with permissive or less restrictive stances and actions. Based on characteristics from the slide before, I make predictions using the relevant finding. There was not much definitive research on correlations between income brackets or employment levels of immigrant groups and the policymaking of Congressmen, but there was enough research about other characteristics for me to be able to make a firm prediction.

 

Slide 4:The overall tone and agenda of Carter, based on the types of immigration bills he supported and content of his website and twitter, is outwardly restrictive and focused on securing the border. The language he uses on his website and during interviews illustrates a grave threat beyond the Southern border that needs to be addressed through tougher law enforcement. Immigration is not a large part of his policymaking or platform, but he still makes his position very clear and in accordance with most members of his party in this era of hyperpartisanship.

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