{"id":369,"date":"2019-03-07T20:20:53","date_gmt":"2019-03-08T01:20:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics\/?p=369"},"modified":"2019-03-25T16:01:31","modified_gmt":"2019-03-25T20:01:31","slug":"ny14-samantha-goerger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/ny14-samantha-goerger\/","title":{"rendered":"NY14 – Samantha Goerger"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Introduction Slide<\/strong><\/p>\n

New York 14 is situated in the upper Bronx and northwestern Queens of New York City.\u00a0 It is currently represented by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Slide #1<\/strong><\/p>\n

NY14 has had consistent Democratic representation for at least two decades.\u00a0 Joseph Crowley represented the area from 1999-2018, with a redistricting in 2012 from NY7.\u00a0 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) unseated the incumbent Democrat in the 2018 New York primary election and proceeded to win the house seat with 78.2% of the vote.\u00a0 She ran as a Democratic-Socialist with progressive policies aimed at mobilizing the minority constituents.\u00a0 As depicted in the left-hand graph, it was not uncommon for Democrats to win over 70% of the vote in NY14, situating it as an unquestionably Democratic district.<\/p>\n

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Slide #2<\/strong><\/p>\n

Academic literature surrounding immigration politics focuses primarily on variables pertaining to area demographics and to local political representation.\u00a0 Specifically, Wong (2017) theorized that a larger foreign born population would shift the median voter to the left.\u00a0 Wong (2014) also found that increased LatinX representation is negatively correlated with support for strict enforcement policies.\u00a0 Additionally, districts with large minority populations are less likely to cooperate with federal immigration enforcement (Wong, 2012), and larger numbers of recent arrivals are positively correlated with pro-immigrant policies (Ramakrishnan & Wong, 2010).\u00a0 That said, the most salient variable in most immigration literature is political party representation.\u00a0 Specifically, Republican representatives, both locally and nationally, are more likely to favor restrictive immigration policies (Wong, 2017; Casellas & Leal, 2013; Ramakrishnan & Wong, 2010).<\/p>\n

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Slide #3<\/strong><\/p>\n

NY14 is highly diverse with native born constituents comprising only 53% of the population.\u00a057% of constituents self-identify as non-white, with 48% identifying as Hispanic or LatinX of any race.\u00a0 As seen in the introduction slide, the average adult education level trails the national average, with few having obtained a Bachelor\u2019s degree or higher.\u00a0 According to the US Census Bureau, 11% of the population falls under the poverty line.\u00a0Given the aforementioned literature on local demographics, the median voter in NY14 is expected to be more liberal than the general public.\u00a0 The district representatives are, therefore, expected to favor less restrictive policies and not support strict internal enforcement.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Slide #4<\/strong><\/p>\n

Because AOC has only been in office for three months, it is difficult to analyze her policy preferences directly through voting records.\u00a0 In fact, vote tracking websites do not list any votes pertaining to immigration except to overturn the recent national emergency declaration.\u00a0 Because of this increased difficulty, I relied on AOC\u2019s campaign website and Twitter feed.\u00a0 When discussing the issue on social media, she is vehemently against ICE and immigration enforcement, often invoking intense language such as \u201chostage\u201d to describe President Trump\u2019s intention to build a wall and detain families.\u00a0 That said, immigration is not a central focus of her campaign.\u00a0 Immigration is listed as the seventh key issue of fifteen on her website.\u00a0 Additionally, only 5.66% of recent Tweets and 2.95% of election month Tweets reference immigration.\u00a0 Conducting a basic analysis of words used in her Twitter feed, I found that most prominent issues mentioned were taxation and climate change.\u00a0 Therefore, while AOC is passionate about pro-immigration policies as predicted by the aforementioned literature, it falls short of the most important issue in her platform.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Introduction Slide New York 14 is situated in the upper Bronx and northwestern Queens of New York City.\u00a0 It is currently represented by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Slide #1 NY14 has had consistent Democratic representation for at least two decades.\u00a0 Joseph Crowley represented the area from 1999-2018, with a redistricting in 2012 from NY7.\u00a0 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1134,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,117,68,107],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-districts-1","category-mcs-and-their-records_","category-ny-district-14","category-ny-district-14-mc","post-preview"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1134"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=369"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":720,"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369\/revisions\/720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/commons.princeton.edu\/immigrationpolitics-2019\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}